Quote from: Vincero on July 05, 2023, 17:20:15Well, China is a bit of a different market - they have a lot of home grown makers who sell cheap and don't sell abroad and would probably struggle to get their cars certified in some markets. The other totally international brands (e.g. Toyota, Ford, etc.) are at a disadvantage in that scenario, especially with import taxes.
Only now are we seeing some of them branch out with their EVs (even though Great Wall have tried in the EU with ICE models before, and BYD part own other established makers).
Yes the writing is on the wall for mainstream ICE usage, but a long way to go in some areas.
At this point the only thing that will kill off ICE cars is legislation and / or someone managing to squeeze 2-3 times the energy density into battery storage for a negligible cost increase.
This is why, despite its complexity, Hydrogen fuel cells are always looked at - the energy density payback.
Still plenty of time for most of these companies to get their s**t together, but dealing with the 'race to the bottom' by some companies (like some of the China brands) will be their biggest issue.
Ironically VW have killed the eUP but in reality need to figure out how to make a successful replacement.
I see the legislation coming but not the battery developments needed to match the government timeframes.
Once that energy density issue is resolved we might actually even see commercial battery powered aircraft.
Those are just stereotypes from 10 years ago.
"they have a lot of home grown makers who sell cheap and don't sell abroad and would probably struggle to get their cars certified in some markets."
Are you from the past? (or from the States?) Chinese cars are selling quite well in Europe, and getting nice results on EuroNCAP.
Also Chinese brands are actually starting to build car factories in Europe, which clearly shows their intentions to stay and grow further.
Hidrogen is only being pushed by petro-lobbies, as it's their only way of maintenaning relevance in a future without combustion engines on road transportation. Hidrogen is extremely inefficient and expensive, and will never be a good alternative to electric cars.
Norway is paving the way. Other countries are following little by little.