Quote from: _MT_ on September 24, 2020, 11:09:20
Quote from: MarxoBean on September 24, 2020, 05:23:01
A lot of you guys are making incorrect assumptions and trying to compare the Xbox option vs other SSDs and saying same price for same capacity. This is an incorrect perspective.
The Xbox expansion isn't even out and within possibly even one year, likely tops due to the recent insane growth of SSD capacities, you will likely began to see the price for 2-4 TB variants around this same price range except much faster. What about 2-3 years from now?...
I don't know what insane growth you're talking about. Yes, it has been possible for some time to buy a cheap 2 TB SSD (slower, shorter lifespan) for similar money (or even cheaper) than expensive 1 TB SSD (faster, longer lifespan). I won't even talk about enterprise grade drives. But the prices have been fairly stable and I can't see any reason why they should suddenly drop. That usually comes with new technology in flash chips and usually at the cost of lifespan and even speed (which gets masked by caching). Have you seen the prices of 8 TB drives? Sure, we can expect to see higher advertised speeds for the same money as PCIe 4.0 spreads. But 4 TB PCIe drives selling for the current price of 1 TB PCIe drives? Simply because bigger drives became available? I don't think so. If you want more capacity for your money, you need to bring down the cost of flash chips.
Probably the growth where SSDs cost $200-500 only a few years ago for 256-512GB models and now we are seeing 1-2TB SSDs for less than $200 USD and they are already starting to release capacities of 4-8TB as well. We are talking SSDs already far faster than what the Xbox Series X will offer and capacities that will continue to rapidly grow while the Xbox Series X likely remains basically stuck at this price point, capacity, and especially speed. Oh, and it is proprietary so it can't be used elsewhere... That growth.
Lets not pretend that those SSDs have poor lifespans. They don't. Realistically, most SSDs will be upgraded from and abandoned rather than die. In terms of speed to capacity and price point they already beat to roughly tie the Xbox Series X.
You ask about the price of 8TB SSD... Yes, they range from around $900~1,500 USD. How about hmm, 2TB SSDs just a few years ago that were $2,000~7,000 USD and are now around $200 and even less? I'm not sure how new you are to the SSD market but their prices have been dropping pretty rapidly over the years. Heck, even around 2010 a 60-120 GB SSD with good speeds was around $400~600 USD. SSD prices have dropped so much, in fact, they have nearly reached HDD price points putting HDDs on the verge of being truly obsolete.
Console life cycles are typically a 10 year period. It wouldn't be odd to see 4+ TB SSDs with 4-6x the speeds of what this proprietary Xbox Series X solution offers for the same price point in 3-4 years and don't even mention near the tail end of its lifespan.
Also, you mention new technologies. Yes, there are certain new technologies on the horizon that may completely invalidate all existing storage solutions able to reach petabyte capacities and world class leading speeds in consumer drives.
There is a reason the Vita had so much trouble with their solution. Microsoft, of all companies, is walking into that trap and already its offerings are worse in, quite literally, every single category than the PS5's and 3rd party's and it hasn't even released yet.