Quote from: L on June 16, 2022, 17:57:20All is fine until there is a battery fire. EVs can be a stopgap until the next power source like hydrogen.
Except that gasoline vehicles burn 10x more frequently per capita than electric vehicles.
I'm sorry, but hydrogen already lost the personal vehicle market. It's dead, Jim. Take it from an early but reformed hydrogen vehicle proponent.
Hydrogen is still very expensive even when created from dirty fossil fuels much less clean electrolysis, because of basic physics. I don't see any reason that will change.
Also, building out the necessary fueling infrastructure would be even more prohibitively costly, because unlike EVs you can't refuel HFCV's cheaply overnight at your house. You have to replicate the existing gasoline infrastructure in its entirety but with even more expensive stations. That seems highly unlikely.
But the real nail in hydrogen's personal vehicle coffin: Unlike EVs, HFCVs offer no advantage of any significance over gasoline. Why would a normal driver want to switch and pay more for scarcer but almost as dirty fuel?
Don't believe me? Only a few thousand HFCVs are on US roads today despite the flashy launch in 2014 and Toyota's grim determination to give away free very expensive fuel as a convincer. Yet EVs were launched in 2011 - only 3 years earlier - and now number over 2.5
million, with popular models sold out months in advance and thrilled customers posting glowing YouTube videos and reviews.
Hydrogen vehicles are just not happening, because there's not a good business case for them. I'm sorry. Perhaps other market segments will prove more welcoming to the technology.