Quote from: ArsLoginName on October 08, 2023, 13:32:56could either be sent for recycling
If the iron is functional, there is no point in sending it for recycling - the iron must exhaust its resource completely. Anything else is selfish excess.
The flatter the energy efficiency growth curve becomes, and this is exactly the case and is becoming increasingly clear for the majority, the less desire people will have to change gadgets. And as I wrote earlier, new classes of tasks at a qualitative level, feasible only in the presence of powerful local neural networks (you don't want to depend on clouds and the decisions of guys there), will require a jump in performance by several orders of magnitude, and not several times ( evolutionary path), as well as the size of RAM and non-volatile memory - just estimate the scale of modern data centers designed for neural networks - there the bill has already gone to exabytes just to make at least some kind of neural network that is really useful in practice.
All modern neuro-coprocessors in the SoC of laptops and smartphones are essentially meaningless and useless toys without hundreds of terabytes of RAM and petabyte disk systems.
For this reason, humanity has been frozen for at least 50 years at this level of productivity and there will definitely not be any significant leap in the near future - the world has already been rapidly degrading since 2019, it had no time for fundamental science before, and now it has no time for it at all .
Radical changes are needed in the fundamental scientific achievements of humanity, embodied technologically, so that a new qualitative leap can be made in the "power supply" (in all senses) of the individual. Which will naturally change the entire face of civilization.
We are now approximately frozen at the level of "steam locomotives" and "airplanes" still require decades of accumulation of qualitative technological changes. While there were steam locomotives, humanity could not travel around the planet as easily as it does now and so quickly, but this required only 50 years of progress. New tasks are much more difficult than airplanes and even a flight to Mars with people, but not with autonomous robots...
This is something like the "hyperdrives" and jumps through subspace invented long ago by science fiction writers. It's easy to dream up, just like about real AI, but to implement it will require centuries and millennia of fundamental research in a favorable environment for the creativity of scientists.
At least, in contrast to "hyperdrive", we now see the living embodiment of AI - a human brain weighing 1.3-2 kg, albeit with poor long-term memory and a lot of stability problems, in reality, but capable of creating and moving into the unknown, albeit not so quickly as we would like now, i.e. here, at least, humanity already knows in advance that the problem is 100% solvable in principle, in contrast to the hypothetical "hyperdrive" and "hyper-jumps" in subspace.